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Our global population is approaching 7 billion.
Subtract a conservative 20% each for those below 10 & above over
60, & you will arrive at a figure of little over 4 billion possible
active Internet & cellphone users. Of these, one out of 4 is an
Internet user. (The number of Internet users are a little over 1
billion while that of cellphone users exceeds 2 billion.)
With more than 100 million (unique) AOL users, almost 400 million
Yahoo! users and like numbers of MSN & Google users, there must
be over 800 million unique users across all the major portals. In
other words, almost every Internet user is a regular of either Yahoo!,
Google, MSN or AOL!
Full Circle
The Internet started off as a communication network. Then a
lot of dotcoms tried to make a medium (& more) out of it - during
the 1st dotcom wave. But most met with dismal failure because of
several reasons. But all that's changing today. As predicted
by the pundits, bandwidth availability has increased by leaps &
bounds over the past few years, making it feasible to use the Internet
to actually play audio & video content.
Today, the Web is increasingly used by the masses to access content
for entertainment & news. We have all witnessed AOL converting itself
into a video streaming site - with a lot of content from parent
Time Warner (giants in the entertainment & news business). We have
also seen Google TV announcing its grand plans. And the ever-increasing
podcasts from iTunes & others. Not to mention Apple's recent video
playing iPod which has already tied up exclusively for premium programming
content. And Yahoo! building its own news reporting team.
In the words of Rosensweig (COO, Yahoo!), "the fastest-growing segment
of time spent on the Web is in entertainment & media content. This
is despite the fact that 45 % of all current activity on the Internet
is still related to communications like e-mail, instant messaging,
blogs & of course VoIP."
So we are seeing the Internet in the throes of the next technology
wave - in which it is used in a major way to distribute & access
mass content like audio & video. Delivering mainline media news
with citizen reporting & blogs. High-end programming with amateur
content. Along with voice & messaging. A sort of combined information
+ media highway which rides on the omnipresent Internet.
Content
is King
The
resurgence of the (till-recently) "also-ran" portal AOL, is a reminder
of the old adage : content is king. With over 110 million unique
visitors every month, AOL has the world's largest instant-messaging
community. And although this exceeded Yahoo!'s 100 million, it was
not enough to keep AOL in the race.
The picture has changed since the re-launch of AOL in June 2005
as a video-portal. Helped with a steady supply of video programming
from its powerful parent Time Warner, AOL has re-invented itself
as a mass medium entertainment site.
Coming to Apple Computer's recently released Video iPod's : its
claim to fame is not because it's a handheld device that can play
video. The Video iPod is the cynosure of all device manufacturers
because it is the first to sell downloadable versions of premium
TV programming from Disney. (Perhaps Apple's iTunes experience with
downloadable songs gave them the edge over other handheld video
device manufacturers like Nokia & Sony.)
Yahoo, Google, Microsoft do not own the kind of content that is
owned by mainstream media companies like Time Warner, Disney, Fox,
Star. Nor are they going to produce such content. So it should not
surprise us when Apple's Video iPod offers a download service for
prime TV content from Disney. And that Yahoo!, Google & Microsoft
are rumored to be bidding seriously for a majority stake in AOL.
And that Star, Fox are on a portal acquiring spree. After all, shouldn't
all portals be busy tying up with the best content ?
The
Long Tail
The universe of content is said to comprise of 1 part "hits"
and 2 parts "non-hits". This last 2/3 of content is known as the
long tail, comprising of content which are niche specific & saleable
in modest unit volumes. (By volume, the tail is considered to be
bigger than the hits - hence the 1/3 : 2/3 ratio.)
Because of today's Internet reach & bandwidth, that such "tail-ender"
content can be made available to niche audiences in remote corners
of the world. So we have thousands of TV programs, short films,
full-length movies, videos, books, songs & blogs that appeal to
ever-smaller niche markets.
The long tail is a recent phenomenon - connected to the widespread
use of the Internet & increasing bandwidth - which opens up new
revenue models, unimagined heretofore.
However, the masses always want the hits, which are created, commissioned
and acquired by mainstream media cos. Therefore, the mad rush for
collaboration / cross acquisitions between Internet portals & mainstream
media cos.
The
New Role of Portals
As
more & more viewers control what they want to view, the role of
media companies is being transformed to creators & publishers of
on-demand content. In this scenario, portals will play a role as
intermediaries by providing tools for finding, sorting, displaying,
buying & sharing content which is published by media companies.
And the web portal's original community features which connect people
digitally with one another (via web groups, instant messaging &
VoIP) will become compasses for navigating through constantly changing
preferences.
No discussion on content in the 21st century can be complete with
a reference to consumer generated media. With the increasing incidences
of blogs, podcasts, citizen reporting et al, everyone realizes that
consumer generated media like blogs present a threat to mainstream
media.
But this will not be a major factor in the entertainment sector
as blogs cannot be expected to match the quality of content of mainstream
media as far as mass entertainment is concerned.
The Internet redefines the Internet. Such is the Internet.
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