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Worldwide
PC sales are flattening, and margins reducing. PC hardware & software
majors have been looking at internet appliances as the next alternative.
One of the first targets was the TV set-top-box market with hardware
& software vendors fighting for mindspace.
Now,
Palm as well as Microsoft are building software for wrist watches
which will double up as personal digital assistants (PDA). Or smart
watches, as they are called.
Palm's
plan is to reduce the 'footprint' of the PDA to fit in a watch -
for this, they have created software with a personal digital assistant,
touch screen & enough memory to hold thousands of addresses & events
which can fit into the smart watch.
Microsoft
on the other hand, is planning to make smart watches which will
also receive data over FM with automatic regular updating from an
atomic clock thrown in. Microsoft has reportedly tied up with U.S.
watchmaker Timex as well as Japan based Citizen.
Interestingly,
U.S. watchmaker Fossil has tied up separately with both companies.
The
estimated global production of wrist watches is approximately 1
billion per annum. For a global population of 6 billion, that's
a replacement rate of 18%. (Replacement of course includes second
& third watches, a segment which is most likely target for smart
watches.) This means that a market share of 1% will translate to
10 million units!
The
target market of software vendors is shifting from PCs to smart
/ internet appliances. Even as an increasing number of appliances
are being enhanced to include powerful software & internet/data
connectivity. TV
set-top boxes (which will ultimately convert the TV set into a home
PC), portable MP3 players (which connect & download music from
the Internet) and the next generation of cellphones (with multi-media
capabilities) are other examples of smart / internet appliances.
All
this translates to new & interesting possibilities with business
models based on individually addressable appliances. As it becomes
possible to address each individual appliance (along with access
to the owner's profile), news, commercial & other content will
be streamed selectively to each addressable appliance. Leading to
the era of narrow-casting.
And
what next? Very soon, expect your refrigerator magnet to download
your appointment schedule & display today's weather forecast. Along
with a commercial message specially designed for you!
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